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Internacional RS W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 13 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 23:00

Internacional RS W

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDLW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Fluminense W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-111.6%0-24.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.5%1-113.1%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.3%2-17.4%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% 54.6% 1.83 -18.8%

Draw 30.7% 29.4% 3.40 +4.4%

Away win 25.0% 25.6% 3.90 -1.5%

Over 2.5 39.3% 46.5% 2.15 -15.5%

Over 3.5 19.7% 25.0% 4.00 -12.7%

BTTS 47.9% 51.3% 1.95 -6.6%

Home O1.5 35.0% 47.6% 2.10 -26.5%

Away O1.5 20.1% 25.0% 4.00 -11.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 87 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -42.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.9%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.6%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0✓ 16.5%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional RS W1.1

Fluminense W0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL RS W · PPG 1.17

FLUMINENSE W · PPG 1.33

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 1.93 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Internacional RS W (H) 44.4%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -18.8%

Draw 30.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +4.4%

Fluminense W (A) 25.0%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional RS W face Fluminense W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional RS W a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Fluminense W 25%, so Internacional RS W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Internacional RS W and 0.8 for Fluminense W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional RS W are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.33 for Fluminense W. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +6.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Internacional RS W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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