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Internacional RS W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 23:00

Internacional RS W

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fluminense W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-111.2%0-24.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.9%1-113.1%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.3%2-17.7%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.6%3-13.0%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 55.6% 1.80 -20.3%

Draw 30.7% 31.3% 3.20 -1.8%

Away win 25.0% 25.0% 4.00 0.0%

Over 2.5 39.3% 48.1% 2.08 -18.3%

Over 3.5 19.7% 26.7% 3.75 -15.7%

BTTS 48.5% 52.4% 1.91 -7.4%

Home O1.5 35.0% 50.0% 2.00 -30.0%

Away O1.5 20.1% 30.3% 3.30 -20.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.5%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 15.9%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional RS W1.2

Fluminense W0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL RS W · PPG 1.17

FLUMINENSE W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.35, combined xG 2.00 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Internacional RS W (H) 44.3%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -20.3%

Draw 30.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -1.8%

Fluminense W (A) 25.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV 0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional RS W face Fluminense W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional RS W a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Fluminense W 25%, so Internacional RS W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Internacional RS W and 0.8 for Fluminense W (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional RS W are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.33 for Fluminense W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +9.9%.

Internacional RS W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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