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America Mineiro W vs Santos W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 22:00

America Mineiro W

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santos W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-117.8%0-210.9%0-34.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-010.3%1-112.5%1-27.7%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-03.6%2-14.4%2-22.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.8%3-11.0%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.5% 17.2% 5.80 +35.7%

Draw 29.9% 29.4% 3.40 +1.0%

Away win 42.6% 66.7% 1.50 -36.1%

Over 2.5 39.3% 54.1% 1.85 -27.3%

Over 3.5 19.7% 33.3% 3.00 -24.5%

BTTS 47.6% 47.6% 2.10 -0.0%

Home O1.5 33.3% 22.2% 4.50 +49.9%

Away O1.5 36.9% 61.7% 1.62 -40.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.6%

A 43% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.6%

#2 0–1 17.8%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 0–2 10.9%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

America Mineiro W0.7

Santos W1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AMERICA MINEIRO W · PPG 0.50

SANTOS W · PPG 1.00

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.52 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

America Mineiro W (H) 27.5%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV +35.7%

Draw 29.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +1.0%

Santos W (A) 42.6%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -36.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

America Mineiro W face Santos W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives America Mineiro W a 28% chance, the draw 30% and Santos W 43%, so Santos W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for America Mineiro W and 1.2 for Santos W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, America Mineiro W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Santos W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +49.9%.

America Mineiro W vs Santos W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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