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Juventude W vs Gremio W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 18:00

Juventude W

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Gremio W

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-121.1%0-211.7%0-34.3%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.5%1-111.6%1-26.4%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-02.9%2-13.2%2-21.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.5%3-10.6%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.4% — — —

Draw 35.3% — — —

Away win 46.3% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 8.7% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob46.2%

A 46% / xG 0.5-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 0–1 21.1%

#3 1–1✓ 11.6%

#4 0–2 11.7%

#5 1–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventude W0.5

Gremio W1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 8.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUDE W · PPG 0.50

GREMIO W · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Juventude W (H) 18.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gremio W (A) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventude W face Gremio W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventude W a 18% chance, the draw 35% and Gremio W 46%, so Gremio W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Juventude W and 1.1 for Gremio W (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventude W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.67 for Gremio W. This match finished 1-1.

Juventude W vs Gremio W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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