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Mixto W vs Palmeiras W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 19:00

Mixto W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Palmeiras W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.35 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-113.0%0-213.3%0-39.1%0-4+7.5%1 1-04.5%1-19.2%1-29.4%1-36.5%1-4+5.3%2 2-01.6%2-13.2%2-23.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.8%3-20.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 63.5% — — —

Over 2.5 52.2% — — —

Over 3.5 32.1% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob48.5%

A 64% / xG 0.7-2.1 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.3%

#2 0–1 13.0%

#3 1–1 9.2%

#4 1–2 9.4%

#5 0–3 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mixto W0.7

Palmeiras W2.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.2% · O3.5 PROB 32.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MIXTO W · PPG 1.00

PALMEIRAS W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.35 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Mixto W (H) 14.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Palmeiras W (A) 63.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mixto W face Palmeiras W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mixto W a 14% chance, the draw 23% and Palmeiras W 64%, so Palmeiras W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Mixto W and 2.1 for Palmeiras W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mixto W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Palmeiras W.

Mixto W vs Palmeiras W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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