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Juventude W vs Ferroviaria W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Juventude W

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ferroviaria W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.8%0-118.4%0-29.0%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.0%1-112.7%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-04.5%2-14.4%2-22.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% — — —

Draw 33.2% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 39.3% — — —

Over 3.5 19.0% — — —

BTTS 46.7% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 29.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.7%

D 33% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.8%

#2 0–1 18.4%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 13.0%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventude W0.7

Ferroviaria W1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUDE W · PPG 0.60

FERROVIARIA W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.29, combined xG 1.67 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Juventude W (H) 30.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ferroviaria W (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventude W face Ferroviaria W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventude W a 31% chance, the draw 33% and Ferroviaria W 36%, so Ferroviaria W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Juventude W and 1.0 for Ferroviaria W (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventude W are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.33 for Ferroviaria W.

Juventude W vs Ferroviaria W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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