Today / Sweden - Damallsvenskan / Norrköping W vs Hammarby W

Norrköping W vs Hammarby W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 14:00

Norrköping W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hammarby W

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 50.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-119.7%0-212.6%0-35.4%0-4+2.3%1 1-09.1%1-111.6%1-27.4%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-02.7%2-13.4%2-22.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.5%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.3% 20.0% 5.00 +0.9%

Draw 29.3% 26.7% 3.75 +5.9%

Away win 50.4% 66.7% 1.50 -24.4%

Over 2.5 39.3% 59.9% 1.67 -34.4%

Over 3.5 19.7% 38.2% 2.62 -29.0%

BTTS 46.4% 55.6% 1.80 -16.5%

Home O1.5 33.3% 27.3% 3.66 +21.9%

Away O1.5 37.5% 65.4% 1.53 -42.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 21.8%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob46.4%

A 50% / xG 0.6-1.3 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 19.7%

#2 0–0 15.4%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 0–2 12.6%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Norrköping W0.6

Hammarby W1.3

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NORRKÖPING W · PPG 1.00

HAMMARBY W · PPG 2.67

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.69 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Norrköping W (H) 20.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +0.9%

Draw 29.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +5.9%

Hammarby W (A) 50.4%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -24.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Norrköping W face Hammarby W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Norrköping W a 20% chance, the draw 29% and Hammarby W 50%, so Hammarby W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Norrköping W and 1.3 for Hammarby W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Norrköping W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.67 for Hammarby W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +21.9%.

Norrköping W vs Hammarby W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Damallsvenskan Predictions