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Hacken W vs Rosengard W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 10 ·Thursday, June 18, 2026, 16:00

Hacken W

PPG 3.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Rosengard W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-12.8%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.1%1-17.2%1-23.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.4%2-19.3%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.8%3-17.9%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.4%4+-19.3%4+-24.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 61.5% 1.17 -28.1%

Draw 19.8% 6.00 +11.3%

Away win 18.7% 12.00 +74.6%

Over 2.5 64.0% 1.50 -4.0%

Over 3.5 40.2% 2.10 -15.6%

BTTS 55.9% 1.85 +3.4%

Win probability 1X2

Hacken W (H) 61.5%

ODDS 1.17 · IMPLIED 85.5% EV -28.1%

Draw 19.8%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +11.3%

Rosengard W (A) 18.7%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +74.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.9%

H 62% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–0 8.8%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 3–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hacken W2.6

Rosengard W0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HACKEN W · PPG 3.00

ROSENGARD W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hacken W face Rosengard W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Thursday, June 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hacken W a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Rosengard W 19%, so Hacken W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Hacken W and 0.9 for Rosengard W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hacken W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Rosengard W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +74.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Hacken W vs Rosengard W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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