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Hungary - NB I logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 30 Fehervari uti Stadion· Paks Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:15
Paks logo Paks PPG 1.57
1-0 HIT CS3
Puskas A. logo Puskas A. PPG 1.60
Away· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.9%
Odds: 1.94 EV: -9.0%
Draw 23.2%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -17.6%
Away 29.8%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +1.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.60 -3.2%
Over 3.5 38.1% Odds: 2.50 -4.8%
BTTS 61.7% Odds: 1.50 -7.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Paks
1.76
Puskas A.
1.36

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.60)

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