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RB Bragantino W vs Atlético Mineiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 20:00

RB Bragantino W

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlético Mineiro W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-15.8%0-23.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.1%1-110.5%1-26.8%1-32.9%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.4%2-19.5%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.5%3-15.8%3-23.7%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.9%4+-22.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% 59.9% 1.67 -19.2%

Draw 23.9% 30.3% 3.30 -12.7%

Away win 27.7% 22.7% 4.40 +13.1%

Over 2.5 62.5% 57.1% 1.75 +9.4%

Over 3.5 39.9% 36.4% 2.75 +9.7%

BTTS 62.5% 57.1% 1.75 +9.4%

Home O1.5 53.7% 57.8% 1.73 -7.1%

Away O1.5 38.1% 29.4% 3.40 +29.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 48% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.4%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RB Bragantino W1.8

Atlético Mineiro W1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RB BRAGANTINO W · PPG 1.43

ATLÉTICO MINEIRO W · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

RB Bragantino W (H) 48.4%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -19.2%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -12.7%

Atlético Mineiro W (A) 27.7%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +13.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

RB Bragantino W face Atlético Mineiro W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RB Bragantino W a 48% chance, the draw 24% and Atlético Mineiro W 28%, so RB Bragantino W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for RB Bragantino W and 1.3 for Atlético Mineiro W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RB Bragantino W are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.33 for Atlético Mineiro W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +35.0%.

RB Bragantino W vs Atlético Mineiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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