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RB Bragantino W vs Palmeiras W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 18:00

RB Bragantino W

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Palmeiras W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 51.8% — a clear edge.

+18.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-18.2%0-27.8%0-34.9%0-4+3.6%1 1-05.4%1-110.2%1-29.7%1-36.1%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.3%2-16.4%2-26.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.4%3-12.6%3-22.5%3-31.6%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.6% 21.7% 4.60 +18.9%

Draw 25.1% 29.4% 3.40 -8.8%

Away win 46.3% 58.8% 1.70 -21.3%

Over 2.5 61.4% 51.8% 1.93 +18.5%

Over 3.5 38.5% 30.8% 3.25 +25.1%

BTTS 59.7% 55.6% 1.80 +7.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob59.7%

A 46% / xG 1.2-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 1–2✓ 9.7%

#3 0–2 7.8%

#4 0–1 8.2%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RB Bragantino W1.2

Palmeiras W1.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RB BRAGANTINO W · PPG 1.67

PALMEIRAS W · PPG 1.75

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

RB Bragantino W (H) 28.6%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +18.9%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -8.8%

Palmeiras W (A) 46.3%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -21.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

RB Bragantino W face Palmeiras W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RB Bragantino W a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Palmeiras W 46%, so Palmeiras W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for RB Bragantino W and 1.9 for Palmeiras W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RB Bragantino W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.75 for Palmeiras W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +25.1%. This match finished 1-2.

RB Bragantino W vs Palmeiras W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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