Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / K. Istiklalspor vs A. Demirspor

K. Istiklalspor vs A. Demirspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 33 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

K. Istiklalspor

PPG 2.56 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

A. Demirspor

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.56), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-13.1%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.5%1-17.6%1-23.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.6%2-19.4%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.7%3-17.8%3-23.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-18.7%4+-23.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.2% — — —

Draw 16.4% — — —

Away win 11.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.5% — — —

Over 3.5 43.6% — — —

BTTS 54.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.0%

H 72% / xG 2.5-0.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 3–0 8.7%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

K. Istiklalspor2.5

A. Demirspor0.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.5% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

K. ISTIKLALSPOR · PPG 2.56

A. DEMIRSPOR · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.56), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

K. Istiklalspor (H) 72.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Demirspor (A) 11.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

K. Istiklalspor face A. Demirspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives K. Istiklalspor a 72% chance, the draw 16% and A. Demirspor 12%, so K. Istiklalspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for K. Istiklalspor and 0.9 for A. Demirspor (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, K. Istiklalspor are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 1.50 for A. Demirspor. This match finished 2-0.

K. Istiklalspor vs A. Demirspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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