Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Ankaragucu vs Iskenderun

Ankaragucu vs Iskenderun Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 38 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Ankaragucu

PPG 1.88 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

Iskenderun

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-111.0%0-25.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.2%1-113.2%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.6%2-18.0%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.2%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.4% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 28.4% — — —

Over 2.5 36.2% — — —

Over 3.5 16.9% — — —

BTTS 42.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob42.5%

H 42% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.2%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–0 11.8%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ankaragucu1.2

Iskenderun0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.2% · O3.5 PROB 16.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ANKARAGUCU · PPG 1.88

ISKENDERUN · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Ankaragucu (H) 42.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iskenderun (A) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ankaragucu face Iskenderun in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ankaragucu a 42% chance, the draw 29% and Iskenderun 28%, so Ankaragucu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ankaragucu and 0.9 for Iskenderun (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ankaragucu are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.29 for Iskenderun. This match finished 4-1.

Ankaragucu vs Iskenderun Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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