Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Altinordu vs Inegolspor

Altinordu vs Inegolspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 38 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Altinordu logo
Altinordu
PPG 0.94 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Inegolspor logo
Inegolspor
PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home POOR (0.94)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-112.3%0-211.8%0-37.5%0-4+5.5%1 1-05.4%1-110.2%1-29.8%1-36.2%1-4+4.6%2 2-02.2%2-14.2%2-24.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 15.7%
Draw 21.5%
Away win 62.8%
Over 2.5 51.6%
Over 3.5 29.5%
BTTS 48.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5 53%
BTTS 53%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -56.6%
Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob48.0%

A 63% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 12.3%
#2 0–2 11.8%
#3 1–1 10.2%
#4 1–2 9.8%
#5 0–3 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Altinordu0.8
Inegolspor1.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ALTINORDU · PPG 0.94

INEGOLSPOR · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Altinordu (H) 15.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Inegolspor (A) 62.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Altinordu face Inegolspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altinordu a 16% chance, the draw 22% and Inegolspor 63%, so Inegolspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Altinordu and 1.9 for Inegolspor (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altinordu are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.71 for Inegolspor. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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