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Arnavutkoy B. vs Isparta Davrazs Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 34 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Arnavutkoy B.

PPG 1.31 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Isparta Davrazs

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-112.7%0-29.5%0-34.7%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.3%1-112.3%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.0%2-16.0%2-24.5%2-32.2%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.3%3-11.9%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.6% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 49.3% — — —

Over 2.5 44.7% — — —

Over 3.5 23.5% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.2%

A 49% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 12.7%

#2 1–1 12.3%

#3 0–2 9.5%

#4 1–2 9.2%

#5 0–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Arnavutkoy B.1.0

Isparta Davrazs1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.7% · O3.5 PROB 23.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ARNAVUTKOY B. · PPG 1.31

ISPARTA DAVRAZS · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.31) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Arnavutkoy B. (H) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Isparta Davrazs (A) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Arnavutkoy B. face Isparta Davrazs in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arnavutkoy B. a 25% chance, the draw 26% and Isparta Davrazs 49%, so Isparta Davrazs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Arnavutkoy B. and 1.5 for Isparta Davrazs (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arnavutkoy B. are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.75 for Isparta Davrazs. This match finished 2-0.

Arnavutkoy B. vs Isparta Davrazs Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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