Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / B. Petrolspor vs Kepezspor

B. Petrolspor vs Kepezspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 38 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 10:30

B. Petrolspor

PPG 2.41 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Kepezspor

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.41), Away POOR (0.82) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-11.1%0-20.3%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.0%1-13.5%1-20.9%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.8%2-16.0%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.2%3-16.7%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-026.2%4+-113.3%4+-23.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 89.8% — — —

Draw 7.5% — — —

Away win 2.8% — — —

Over 2.5 74.3% — — —

Over 3.5 54.2% — — —

BTTS 38.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 84%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob38.4%

H 90% / xG 3.4-0.5 / O2.5 74% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.2%

#2 2–0 11.8%

#3 4–0 11.1%

#4 5–0 7.5%

#5 1–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B. Petrolspor3.4

Kepezspor0.5

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.3% · O3.5 PROB 54.2%

Form & verdict PPG

B. PETROLSPOR · PPG 2.41

KEPEZSPOR · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.41), Away POOR (0.82) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

B. Petrolspor (H) 89.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 7.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kepezspor (A) 2.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B. Petrolspor face Kepezspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B. Petrolspor a 90% chance, the draw 8% and Kepezspor 3%, so B. Petrolspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for B. Petrolspor and 0.5 for Kepezspor (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B. Petrolspor are averaging 2.41 points per game versus 0.82 for Kepezspor. This match finished 6-0.

B. Petrolspor vs Kepezspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

More Turkey - 2. Lig Predictions