Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / A. Demirspor vs Gebzespor

A. Demirspor vs Gebzespor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 34 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 10:00

A. Demirspor

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Gebzespor

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-113.4%0-29.2%0-34.2%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.3%1-112.8%1-28.8%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.4%2-16.1%2-24.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.4%3-11.9%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.0% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 46.7% — — —

Over 2.5 41.1% — — —

Over 3.5 20.6% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob45.9%

A 47% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.4%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 0–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 0–2 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Demirspor1.0

Gebzespor1.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

A. DEMIRSPOR · PPG 1.50

GEBZESPOR · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

A. Demirspor (H) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gebzespor (A) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Demirspor face Gebzespor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Demirspor a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Gebzespor 47%, so Gebzespor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for A. Demirspor and 1.4 for Gebzespor (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Demirspor are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.44 for Gebzespor. This match finished 2-2.

A. Demirspor vs Gebzespor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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