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Beyoglu Yeni C. vs Erbaaspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 38 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Beyoglu Yeni C.

PPG 1.41 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Erbaaspor

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.41) > Away POOR (0.94)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-17.2%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.2%1-110.8%1-23.0%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.3%2-18.0%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.1%3-14.0%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-12.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.0% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 13.9% — — —

Over 2.5 33.6% — — —

Over 3.5 15.2% — — —

BTTS 33.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob33.3%

H 60% / xG 1.5-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.2%

#2 2–0 14.3%

#3 0–0 12.9%

#4 1–1 10.8%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Beyoglu Yeni C.1.5

Erbaaspor0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 15.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BEYOGLU YENI C. · PPG 1.41

ERBAASPOR · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.41) > Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Beyoglu Yeni C. (H) 60.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Erbaaspor (A) 13.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Beyoglu Yeni C. face Erbaaspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beyoglu Yeni C. a 60% chance, the draw 26% and Erbaaspor 14%, so Beyoglu Yeni C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Beyoglu Yeni C. and 0.6 for Erbaaspor (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beyoglu Yeni C. are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 0.94 for Erbaaspor. This match finished 3-1.

Beyoglu Yeni C. vs Erbaaspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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