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Deportivo Camioneros vs San Martín Burzaco Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Deportivo Camioneros

PPG 1.77 · HOME

UPCOMING

San Martín Burzaco

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-112.2%0-24.3%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.8%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.5%2-16.7%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.3%3-12.4%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 52.4% 1.91 -13.5%

Draw 31.4% 31.3% 3.20 +0.5%

Away win 23.3% 27.0% 3.70 -8.3%

Over 2.5 39.3% 46.5% 2.15 -15.5%

Over 3.5 18.6% 25.3% 3.95 -15.9%

BTTS 46.7% 52.6% 1.90 -11.3%

Home O1.5 35.0% 47.6% 2.10 -26.5%

Away O1.5 20.1% 29.0% 3.45 -18.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.7%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.2%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Camioneros1.0

San Martín Burzaco0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.77

SAN MARTÍN BURZACO · PPG 1.77

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.34, combined xG 1.76 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Camioneros (H) 45.3%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -13.5%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +0.5%

San Martín Burzaco (A) 23.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Camioneros face San Martín Burzaco in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Camioneros a 45% chance, the draw 31% and San Martín Burzaco 23%, so Deportivo Camioneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Deportivo Camioneros and 0.7 for San Martín Burzaco (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Camioneros are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.77 for San Martín Burzaco. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +5.3%.

Deportivo Camioneros vs San Martín Burzaco Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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