Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / Flandria vs Excursionistas

Flandria vs Excursionistas Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Flandria

PPG 1.31 · HOME

UPCOMING

Excursionistas

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-116.5%0-211.9%0-35.8%0-4+2.9%1 1-08.3%1-112.0%1-28.6%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-03.0%2-14.3%2-23.1%2-31.5%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.7%3-11.0%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% 32.3% 3.10 -16.1%

Draw 28.2% 33.3% 3.00 -9.2%

Away win 48.2% 44.4% 2.25 +8.5%

Over 2.5 46.8% 38.5% 2.60 +21.7%

Over 3.5 28.7% 20.0% 5.00 +26.1%

BTTS 48.5% 47.6% 2.10 +1.8%

Home O1.5 33.3% 28.6% 3.50 +16.6%

Away O1.5 44.9% 37.7% 2.65 +19.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.5%

A 48% / xG 0.7-1.4 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.5%

#2 1–1 12.0%

#3 0–0 11.4%

#4 0–2 11.9%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flandria0.7

Excursionistas1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.31

EXCURSIONISTAS · PPG 1.85

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.72 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Flandria (H) 23.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -16.1%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.2%

Excursionistas (A) 48.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +8.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Flandria face Excursionistas in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flandria a 24% chance, the draw 28% and Excursionistas 48%, so Excursionistas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Flandria and 1.4 for Excursionistas (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flandria are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.85 for Excursionistas. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.1%.

Flandria vs Excursionistas Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Predictions