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Fethiyespor vs Musspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 33 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Fethiyespor

PPG 1.25 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Musspor

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-17.2%0-27.4%0-35.1%0-4+4.2%1 1-04.5%1-19.3%1-29.6%1-36.6%1-4+5.4%2 2-02.9%2-16.1%2-26.2%2-34.3%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.3%3-12.6%3-22.7%3-31.8%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.9% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 54.9% — — —

Over 2.5 65.1% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.4%

A 55% / xG 1.3-2.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.6%

#2 1–1✓ 9.3%

#3 0–2 7.4%

#4 0–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fethiyespor1.3

Musspor2.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FETHIYESPOR · PPG 1.25

MUSSPOR · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.25) vs Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Fethiyespor (H) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Musspor (A) 54.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fethiyespor face Musspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fethiyespor a 24% chance, the draw 21% and Musspor 55%, so Musspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Fethiyespor and 2.1 for Musspor (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fethiyespor are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.69 for Musspor. This match finished 1-1.

Fethiyespor vs Musspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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