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Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 1 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 17:45

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tigre

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.2%0-121.3%0-212.4%0-34.8%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.8%1-111.4%1-26.7%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-02.6%2-13.1%2-21.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.5%3-10.5%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.4% 26.0% 3.85 -12.9%

Draw 32.6% 35.1% 2.85 -7.1%

Away win 47.1% 45.9% 2.18 +2.7%

Over 2.5 35.9% 31.3% 3.20 +14.9%

Over 3.5 17.8% 14.3% 7.00 +14.8%

BTTS 46.4% 40.8% 2.45 +13.7%

Home O1.5 33.3% 21.1% 4.75 +58.2%

Away O1.5 36.4% 33.9% 2.95 +7.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 27%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -42.5%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob46.4%

A 47% / xG 0.5-1.2 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.2%

#2 0–1 21.3%

#3 1–1 11.4%

#4 0–2 12.4%

#5 1–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.5

Tigre1.2

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO · PPG 0.50

TIGRE · PPG 0.88

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.63 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (H) 20.4%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -12.9%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -7.1%

Tigre (A) 47.1%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV +2.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto face Tigre in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto a 20% chance, the draw 33% and Tigre 47%, so Tigre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 1.2 for Tigre (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.88 for Tigre. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +58.2%.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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