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Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 1 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 20:00

Newells Old Boys

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Talleres Cordoba

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-114.8%0-28.9%0-33.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.0%1-113.2%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-04.9%2-15.9%2-23.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.5%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.8% 36.0% 2.78 -11.6%

Draw 32.4% 35.0% 2.86 -7.3%

Away win 35.8% 36.0% 2.78 -0.5%

Over 2.5 42.9% 37.0% 2.70 +15.8%

Over 3.5 23.0% 18.2% 5.50 +15.9%

BTTS 48.5% 47.6% 2.10 +1.8%

Home O1.5 33.3% 31.3% 3.20 +6.6%

Away O1.5 36.8% 31.3% 3.20 +17.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 27%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -42.5%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.4%

#3 0–1 14.8%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Newells Old Boys0.9

Talleres Cordoba1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.9% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NEWELLS OLD BOYS · PPG 0.88

TALLERES CORDOBA · PPG 1.44

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.30, combined xG 2.09 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Newells Old Boys (H) 31.8%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV -11.6%

Draw 32.4%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV -7.3%

Talleres Cordoba (A) 35.8%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV -0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Newells Old Boys face Talleres Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newells Old Boys a 32% chance, the draw 32% and Talleres Cordoba 36%, so Talleres Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Newells Old Boys and 1.2 for Talleres Cordoba (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newells Old Boys are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.44 for Talleres Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +17.8%.

Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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