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Racing Club vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 1 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 22:00

Racing Club

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gimnasia L.P.

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-19.9%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.0%1-112.9%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.8%2-18.4%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.3%3-13.6%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% 55.2% 1.81 -18.2%

Draw 28.6% 30.8% 3.25 -4.2%

Away win 26.2% 20.8% 4.80 +15.5%

Over 2.5 43.6% 40.8% 2.45 +6.8%

Over 3.5 23.0% 21.1% 4.75 +5.5%

BTTS 48.5% 46.5% 2.15 +4.3%

Home O1.5 38.5% 45.5% 2.20 -15.3%

Away O1.5 20.9% 21.1% 4.75 -0.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -39.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

H 45% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 11.5%

#3 1–0 15.0%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Club1.3

Gimnasia L.P.0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CLUB · PPG 1.29

GIMNASIA L.P. · PPG 1.60

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.45, combined xG 2.16 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Racing Club (H) 45.2%

ODDS 1.81 · IMPLIED 55.2% EV -18.2%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -4.2%

Gimnasia L.P. (A) 26.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +15.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Club face Gimnasia L.P. in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Club a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Gimnasia L.P. 26%, so Racing Club are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Racing Club and 0.9 for Gimnasia L.P. (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Club are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.60 for Gimnasia L.P.. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +26.1%.

Racing Club vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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