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JäPS vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

JäPS

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Klubi-04

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-113.1%0-26.7%0-32.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.2%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.8%2-17.0%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.4%3-12.4%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 47.6% 2.10 -24.2%

Draw 28.6% 27.8% 3.60 +1.8%

Away win 35.3% 34.7% 2.88 +1.7%

Over 2.5 46.8% 64.5% 1.55 -27.5%

Over 3.5 26.4% 42.0% 2.38 -22.3%

BTTS 48.5% 69.0% 1.45 -29.7%

Home O1.5 35.0% 55.6% 1.80 -37.0%

Away O1.5 32.9% 46.5% 2.15 -29.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -39.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.5%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 1–0 13.2%

#4 0–1 13.1%

#5 2–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JäPS1.0

Klubi-041.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JÄPS · PPG 1.71

KLUBI-04 · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.01, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

JäPS (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -24.2%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +1.8%

Klubi-04 (A) 35.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

JäPS face Klubi-04 in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JäPS a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Klubi-04 35%, so JäPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for JäPS and 1.0 for Klubi-04 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JäPS are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.00 for Klubi-04.

JäPS vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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