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PK-35 vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 15:00

PK-35

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

JIPPO

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-110.3%0-24.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.2%1-113.0%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.6%2-18.2%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.0%3-13.5%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 38.2% 2.62 +21.6%

Draw 27.4% 33.3% 3.00 -10.7%

Away win 26.2% 38.2% 2.62 -18.8%

Over 2.5 46.8% 42.6% 2.35 +10.0%

Over 3.5 28.1% 23.1% 4.33 +13.0%

BTTS 48.5% 51.8% 1.93 -6.4%

Home O1.5 38.4% 35.7% 2.80 +7.5%

Away O1.5 20.8% 35.7% 2.80 -25.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -39.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 12.0%

#3 1–0 15.2%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PK-351.3

JIPPO0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PK-35 · PPG 2.00

JIPPO · PPG 2.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.41, combined xG 2.12 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

PK-35 (H) 46.4%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +21.6%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.7%

JIPPO (A) 26.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -18.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

PK-35 face JIPPO in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PK-35 a 46% chance, the draw 27% and JIPPO 26%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for PK-35 and 0.9 for JIPPO (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PK-35 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for JIPPO. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +31.7%.

PK-35 vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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