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SJK Akatemia vs EIF Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

EIF

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-112.0%0-27.1%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.3%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.2%2-17.3%2-24.3%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.3%3-12.7%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 39.2% 2.55 +1.0%

Draw 26.6% 29.0% 3.45 -4.9%

Away win 33.8% 41.7% 2.40 -18.9%

Over 2.5 50.0% 58.8% 1.70 -15.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.6%

BTTS 52.3% 64.5% 1.55 -18.9%

Home O1.5 35.0% 46.5% 2.15 -24.8%

Away O1.5 36.4% 47.6% 2.10 -23.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -39.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

A 34% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.2%

#3 0–1 12.0%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK Akatemia1.1

EIF1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.71

EIF · PPG 0.14

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.08, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SJK Akatemia (H) 39.6%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +1.0%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -4.9%

EIF (A) 33.8%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -18.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK Akatemia face EIF in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK Akatemia a 40% chance, the draw 27% and EIF 34%, so SJK Akatemia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for SJK Akatemia and 1.2 for EIF (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK Akatemia are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 0.14 for EIF.

SJK Akatemia vs EIF Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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