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Rizhao Yuqi vs Shanghai Second Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:30

Rizhao Yuqi

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shanghai Second

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.0%0-115.5%0-24.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.1%1-111.9%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.3%2-14.5%2-21.4%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.9%3-11.2%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.7% — — —

Draw 33.1% — — —

Away win 25.3% — — —

Over 2.5 33.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.4%

H 42% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.0%

#2 1–0 19.1%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 1–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rizhao Yuqi0.8

Shanghai Second0.6

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RIZHAO YUQI · PPG 1.14

SHANGHAI SECOND · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.14, combined xG 1.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rizhao Yuqi (H) 41.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shanghai Second (A) 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rizhao Yuqi face Shanghai Second in China - League Two on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rizhao Yuqi a 42% chance, the draw 33% and Shanghai Second 25%, so Rizhao Yuqi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Rizhao Yuqi and 0.6 for Shanghai Second (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rizhao Yuqi are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.88 for Shanghai Second.

Rizhao Yuqi vs Shanghai Second Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions