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Guangzhou Dandelion vs Yichun Grand Tiger Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:00

Guangzhou Dandelion

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yichun Grand Tiger

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-17.8%0-23.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.4%1-112.1%1-25.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-19.3%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.3%3-14.8%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.4% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 46.4% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.3%

H 50% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 13.4%

#3 0–0 8.7%

#4 2–0 10.4%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guangzhou Dandelion1.5

Yichun Grand Tiger0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GUANGZHOU DANDELION · PPG 1.25

YICHUN GRAND TIGER · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Guangzhou Dandelion (H) 50.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yichun Grand Tiger (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Guangzhou Dandelion face Yichun Grand Tiger in China - League Two on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guangzhou Dandelion a 50% chance, the draw 26% and Yichun Grand Tiger 24%, so Guangzhou Dandelion are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Guangzhou Dandelion and 0.9 for Yichun Grand Tiger (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guangzhou Dandelion are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.88 for Yichun Grand Tiger.

Guangzhou Dandelion vs Yichun Grand Tiger Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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