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Shandong Taishan II vs Changchun Xidu Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:00

Shandong Taishan II

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Changchun Xidu

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.56 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-13.9%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-016.2%1-17.9%1-21.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.6%2-18.1%2-22.0%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.3%3-15.5%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-14.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.9% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 9.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.4%

H 68% / xG 2.0-0.5 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.6%

#2 1–0 16.2%

#3 3–0 11.3%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 1–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shandong Taishan II2.0

Changchun Xidu0.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANDONG TAISHAN II · PPG 2.00

CHANGCHUN XIDU · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.56 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Shandong Taishan II (H) 67.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Changchun Xidu (A) 9.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shandong Taishan II face Changchun Xidu in China - League Two on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shandong Taishan II a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Changchun Xidu 10%, so Shandong Taishan II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Shandong Taishan II and 0.5 for Changchun Xidu (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shandong Taishan II are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Changchun Xidu.

Shandong Taishan II vs Changchun Xidu Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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