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Mandurah City vs Inglewood United Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 09:00

Mandurah City

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inglewood United

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-16.2%0-23.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.7%1-111.0%1-25.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.8%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.7%3-15.8%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.9%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.2% — — —

Over 3.5 35.8% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 53% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.6%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mandurah City1.8

Inglewood United1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.2% · O3.5 PROB 35.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MANDURAH CITY · PPG 1.75

INGLEWOOD UNITED · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Mandurah City (H) 53.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inglewood United (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mandurah City face Inglewood United in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mandurah City a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Inglewood United 23%, so Mandurah City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Mandurah City and 1.0 for Inglewood United (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mandurah City are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.43 for Inglewood United.

Mandurah City vs Inglewood United Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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