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Subiaco vs Floreat Athena Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

Subiaco

PPG 0.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Floreat Athena

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.6%0-26.0%0-35.2%0-4+6.2%1 1-02.6%1-16.6%1-28.6%1-37.4%1-4+8.9%2 2-01.8%2-14.8%2-26.2%2-35.3%2-4+6.4%3 3-00.9%3-12.3%3-23.0%3-32.6%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.1%4+-21.5%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.0% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 56.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 49.6% — — —

BTTS 64.5% — — —

Home O1.5 46.3% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob64.5%

A 57% / xG 1.4-2.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.6%

#2 1–1 6.6%

#3 1–3 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.2%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Subiaco1.4

Floreat Athena2.6

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SUBIACO · PPG 0.78

FLOREAT ATHENA · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.15 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Subiaco (H) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Floreat Athena (A) 56.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Subiaco face Floreat Athena in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Subiaco a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Floreat Athena 57%, so Floreat Athena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Subiaco and 2.6 for Floreat Athena (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Subiaco are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 1.12 for Floreat Athena.

Subiaco vs Floreat Athena Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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