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Kingsley Westside vs Joondalup City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 05:00

Kingsley Westside

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Joondalup City

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-17.6%0-25.9%0-33.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.2%1-111.2%1-28.6%1-34.4%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.3%2-18.2%2-26.3%2-33.2%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.6%3-14.0%3-23.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.0%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.7% — — —

Over 3.5 39.0% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 46.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

A 36% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–0 4.9%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kingsley Westside1.5

Joondalup City1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KINGSLEY WESTSIDE · PPG 1.62

JOONDALUP CITY · PPG 2.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kingsley Westside (H) 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Joondalup City (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kingsley Westside face Joondalup City in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kingsley Westside a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Joondalup City 36%, so Kingsley Westside are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Kingsley Westside and 1.5 for Joondalup City (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kingsley Westside are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 2.11 for Joondalup City.

Kingsley Westside vs Joondalup City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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