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Quinns FC vs Cockburn City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

Quinns FC

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cockburn City

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.1%0-23.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.2%1-17.9%1-27.6%1-34.8%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.0%2-17.7%2-27.3%2-34.6%2-4+3.4%3 3-02.6%3-14.9%3-24.7%3-33.0%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.7%4+-23.5%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 33.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.6% — — —

BTTS 69.3% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.3%

H 45% / xG 1.9-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 7.7%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quinns FC1.9

Cockburn City1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.6%

Form & verdict PPG

QUINNS FC · PPG 1.17

COCKBURN CITY · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Quinns FC (H) 44.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cockburn City (A) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Quinns FC face Cockburn City in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quinns FC a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Cockburn City 34%, so Quinns FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Quinns FC and 1.9 for Cockburn City (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quinns FC are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.14 for Cockburn City.

Quinns FC vs Cockburn City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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