Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / 24 Erzincanspor vs Adana

24 Erzincanspor vs Adana Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 37 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

24 Erzincanspor

PPG 1.65 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Adana

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.65), Away GOOD (1.53)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-110.3%0-27.9%0-34.1%0-4+2.2%1 1-07.8%1-112.0%1-29.2%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.5%2-17.0%2-25.4%2-32.8%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.8%3-12.7%3-22.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.9% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 45.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 54.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.2%

A 46% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1 10.3%

#3 1–2 9.2%

#4 0–2 7.9%

#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

24 Erzincanspor1.2

Adana1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

24 ERZINCANSPOR · PPG 1.65

ADANA · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.65), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

24 Erzincanspor (H) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Adana (A) 45.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

24 Erzincanspor face Adana in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 24 Erzincanspor a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Adana 46%, so Adana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for 24 Erzincanspor and 1.5 for Adana (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 24 Erzincanspor are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.53 for Adana. This match finished 3-0.

24 Erzincanspor vs Adana Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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