Today / RBC vs TOGB

RBC vs TOGB Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

RBC

PPG 2.07 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

TOGB

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.8%0-21.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-02.5%1-14.9%1-24.8%1-33.2%1-4+2.5%2 2-03.4%2-16.7%2-26.6%2-34.3%2-4+3.4%3 3-03.1%3-16.0%3-26.0%3-33.9%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-17.9%4+-27.9%4+-35.2%4+-4+4.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.1% — — —

Draw 18.1% — — —

Away win 27.9% — — —

Over 2.5 84.7% — — —

Over 3.5 69.0% — — —

BTTS 80.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob80.5%

H 54% / xG 2.7-2.0 / O2.5 85% / BTTS 80%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 6.7%

#2 2–2 6.6%

#3 3–1 6.0%

#4 3–2 6.0%

#5 1–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RBC2.7

TOGB2.0

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 84.7% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RBC · PPG 2.07

TOGB · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

RBC (H) 54.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TOGB (A) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RBC face TOGB on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RBC a 54% chance, the draw 18% and TOGB 28%, so RBC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for RBC and 2.0 for TOGB (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RBC are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.43 for TOGB. This match finished 0-0.

RBC vs TOGB Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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