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Aurora vs ABB Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura - 11 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 23:00

Aurora

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

ABB

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.24 for Home, form 1.80 vs 0.60 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.4%0-20.7%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.3%1-14.5%1-22.4%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.1%2-17.4%2-23.9%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.7%3-18.1%3-24.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-014.6%4+-115.3%4+-28.0%4+-32.8%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.5% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 50.9% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob62.5%

H 68% / xG 3.3-1.1 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.1%

#2 3–0 7.7%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–0 7.1%

#5 4–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aurora3.3

ABB1.1

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 50.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AURORA · PPG 1.80

ABB · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.24 for Home, form 1.80 vs 0.60 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Aurora (H) 67.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

ABB (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aurora face ABB in Bolivia - Primera División on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aurora a 68% chance, the draw 17% and ABB 15%, so Aurora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Aurora and 1.1 for ABB (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aurora are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.60 for ABB.

Aurora vs ABB Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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