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Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 18 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 19:00

Real Oruro

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

PPG 0.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-12.5%0-21.5%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.6%1-16.7%1-24.0%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.5%2-18.9%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.6%3-17.9%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-08.4%4+-110.0%4+-26.0%4+-32.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.5% 57.1% 1.75 +9.4%

Draw 17.2% 26.3% 3.80 -20.8%

Away win 20.3% 27.0% 3.70 -14.9%

Over 2.5 68.4% 75.2% 1.33 -9.0%

Over 3.5 49.4% 55.6% 1.80 -11.1%

BTTS 63.5% 75.2% 1.33 -15.5%

Home O1.5 66.3% 69.4% 1.44 -4.5%

Away O1.5 35.6% 47.6% 2.10 -25.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -21.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.5%

H 62% / xG 2.7-1.2 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 1–1 6.7%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 3–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Oruro2.7

San Antonio Bulo Bulo1.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL ORURO · PPG 0.88

SAN ANTONIO BULO BULO · PPG 0.12

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.46 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Real Oruro (H) 62.5%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV +9.4%

Draw 17.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -20.8%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (A) 20.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -14.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Oruro face San Antonio Bulo Bulo in Bolivia - Primera División on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Oruro a 63% chance, the draw 17% and San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20%, so Real Oruro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Real Oruro and 1.2 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Oruro are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 0.12 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +18.1%.

Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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