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Blooming vs Real Oruro Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 27, 2026, 00:30

Blooming

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Real Oruro

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 84.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-12.7%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.9%1-17.1%1-23.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-19.2%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.0%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.7%4+-19.6%4+-24.3%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% 76.9% 1.30 -15.5%

Draw 17.7% 18.2% 5.50 -1.6%

Away win 17.3% 14.8% 6.75 +10.1%

Over 2.5 64.9% 82.0% 1.22 -20.8%

Over 3.5 43.2% 65.4% 1.53 -33.9%

BTTS 55.0% 71.4% 1.40 -23.0%

Home O1.5 65.8% 84.7% 1.18 -22.4%

Away O1.5 25.7% 37.7% 2.65 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -21.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.0%

H 65% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–1✓ 7.1%

#4 3–0 8.9%

#5 3–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Blooming2.6

Real Oruro0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BLOOMING · PPG 2.00

REAL ORURO · PPG 1.25

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.70 for Home, form 2.00 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Blooming (H) 65.0%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -15.5%

Draw 17.7%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -1.6%

Real Oruro (A) 17.3%

ODDS 6.75 · IMPLIED 14.8% EV +10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Blooming face Real Oruro in Bolivia - Primera División on Thursday, August 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blooming a 65% chance, the draw 18% and Real Oruro 17%, so Blooming are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Blooming and 0.9 for Real Oruro (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blooming are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Real Oruro. This match finished 1-1.

Blooming vs Real Oruro Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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