Today / Paraguay - Division Intermedia / Deportivo Santani vs Paraguari AC

Deportivo Santani vs Paraguari AC Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Regular Season - 16 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 22:30

Deportivo Santani

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Paraguari AC

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-18.2%0-23.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.1%1-112.0%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.8%2-18.8%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.7%3-14.3%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 21.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 49.7% — — —

Home O1.5 46.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.7%

H 53% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.1%

#2 1–1 12.0%

#3 0–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 11.8%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Santani1.5

Paraguari AC0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO SANTANI · PPG 1.43

PARAGUARI AC · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Santani (H) 53.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Paraguari AC (A) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Santani face Paraguari AC in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Santani a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Paraguari AC 22%, so Deportivo Santani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Deportivo Santani and 0.7 for Paraguari AC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Santani are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.43 for Paraguari AC.