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Barracas Central vs Argentinos JRS Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 8 ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 22:00

Barracas Central

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLD

UPCOMING

Argentinos JRS

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-114.2%0-26.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.1%1-113.4%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.1%2-16.3%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.2%3-12.0%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.5% 25.0% 4.00 +46.0%

Draw 32.3% 35.7% 2.80 -9.6%

Away win 31.3% 48.8% 2.05 -35.8%

Over 2.5 38.8% 32.3% 3.10 +20.3%

Over 3.5 18.5% 15.4% 6.50 +12.2%

BTTS 48.0% 43.5% 2.30 +10.4%

Home O1.5 30.8% 18.2% 5.50 +69.4%

Away O1.5 25.7% 38.2% 2.62 -19.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 142 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -1.3%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.0%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%

#2 1–0 15.1%

#3 1–1 13.4%

#4 0–1 14.2%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Barracas Central0.9

Argentinos JRS0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BARRACAS CENTRAL · PPG 1.27

ARGENTINOS JRS · PPG 1.36

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.05, combined xG 1.83 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Barracas Central (H) 36.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +46.0%

Draw 32.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -9.6%

Argentinos JRS (A) 31.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -35.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Barracas Central face Argentinos JRS in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barracas Central a 37% chance, the draw 32% and Argentinos JRS 31%, so Barracas Central are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Barracas Central and 0.9 for Argentinos JRS (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barracas Central are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.36 for Argentinos JRS. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +69.4%.

Barracas Central vs Argentinos JRS Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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