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Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 8 ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 00:30

Racing Club

PPG 1.18 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLDL

UPCOMING

Atletico Tucuman

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-111.5%0-24.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.4%1-113.1%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.3%2-17.5%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.6%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 55.6% 1.80 -29.8%

Draw 31.8% 31.3% 3.20 +1.8%

Away win 29.2% 21.7% 4.60 +20.6%

Over 2.5 38.8% 41.7% 2.40 -6.9%

Over 3.5 18.5% 22.2% 4.50 -10.1%

BTTS 44.9% 47.6% 2.10 -5.7%

Home O1.5 31.2% 47.6% 2.10 -34.5%

Away O1.5 23.5% 20.0% 5.00 +10.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 142 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -1.3%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.9%

D 32% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.4%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Club1.1

Atletico Tucuman0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CLUB · PPG 1.18

ATLETICO TUCUMAN · PPG 0.91

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.34, combined xG 1.94 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Racing Club (H) 39.0%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -29.8%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +1.8%

Atletico Tucuman (A) 29.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +20.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Club face Atletico Tucuman in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Club a 39% chance, the draw 32% and Atletico Tucuman 29%, so Racing Club are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Racing Club and 0.8 for Atletico Tucuman (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Club are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 0.91 for Atletico Tucuman. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +33.1%.

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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