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Porto Football U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 14 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:00

Porto Football U20

PPG 0.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

UPCOMING

Gremio Prudente U20

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.6%0-119.0%0-29.8%0-33.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.2%1-112.5%1-26.4%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.0%2-14.1%2-22.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.9%3-10.9%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.1% 30.8% 3.25 -7.2%

Draw 31.2% 28.6% 3.50 +9.2%

Away win 41.7% 52.4% 1.91 -20.3%

Over 2.5 38.8% 54.1% 1.85 -28.2%

Over 3.5 18.5% 35.3% 2.83 -28.6%

BTTS 44.1% 60.2% 1.66 -26.8%

Home O1.5 30.8% 35.2% 2.84 -12.5%

Away O1.5 31.9% 53.5% 1.87 -40.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 117 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -47.8%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob44.1%

A 42% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.6%

#2 0–1 19.0%

#3 1–0 12.2%

#4 1–1 12.5%

#5 0–2 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Porto Football U200.7

Gremio Prudente U201.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTO FOOTBALL U20 · PPG 0.67

GREMIO PRUDENTE U20 · PPG 1.50

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.37, combined xG 1.68 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Porto Football U20 (H) 27.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -7.2%

Draw 31.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +9.2%

Gremio Prudente U20 (A) 41.7%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -20.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Porto Football U20 face Gremio Prudente U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Porto Football U20 a 27% chance, the draw 31% and Gremio Prudente U20 42%, so Gremio Prudente U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Porto Football U20 and 1.0 for Gremio Prudente U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Porto Football U20 are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.50 for Gremio Prudente U20.

Porto Football U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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