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Osasco Audax U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 14 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:00

Osasco Audax U20

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWD

UPCOMING

RB Bragantino U20

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 69.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-17.9%0-210.0%0-38.5%0-4+9.9%1 1-02.9%1-17.3%1-29.3%1-37.9%1-4+9.2%2 2-01.3%2-13.4%2-24.3%2-33.7%2-4+4.3%3 3-00.4%3-11.1%3-21.3%3-31.1%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.7% 13.5% 7.40 -3.6%

Draw 18.7% 21.5% 4.65 -7.8%

Away win 68.6% 76.3% 1.31 -10.1%

Over 2.5 65.0% 65.4% 1.53 -0.5%

Over 3.5 44.8% 44.2% 2.26 +1.3%

BTTS 55.9% 56.2% 1.78 -0.5%

Home O1.5 30.8% 23.8% 4.20 +29.4%

Away O1.5 69.2% 71.9% 1.39 -3.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 117 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -47.8%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob55.9%

A 69% / xG 0.9-2.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.0%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 1–1 7.3%

#4 0–3 8.5%

#5 1–3 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Osasco Audax U200.9

RB Bragantino U202.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OSASCO AUDAX U20 · PPG 1.50

RB BRAGANTINO U20 · PPG 3.00

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.61 for Away, form 1.50 vs 3.00

Win probability 1X2

Osasco Audax U20 (H) 12.7%

ODDS 7.40 · IMPLIED 13.5% EV -3.6%

Draw 18.7%

ODDS 4.65 · IMPLIED 21.5% EV -7.8%

RB Bragantino U20 (A) 68.6%

ODDS 1.31 · IMPLIED 76.3% EV -10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Osasco Audax U20 face RB Bragantino U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Osasco Audax U20 a 13% chance, the draw 19% and RB Bragantino U20 69%, so RB Bragantino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Osasco Audax U20 and 2.5 for RB Bragantino U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Osasco Audax U20 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 3.00 for RB Bragantino U20. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +29.4%.

Osasco Audax U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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