Today / Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A / PPJ vs Union Plaani

PPJ vs Union Plaani Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 16:00

PPJ

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Union Plaani

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.50 for Home, form 1.17 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.2%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.4%1-14.1%1-21.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.6%2-17.0%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.7%3-18.0%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-017.8%4+-116.4%4+-27.6%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.8% 74.1% 1.35 -7.1%

Draw 17.6% 20.8% 4.80 -9.3%

Away win 13.6% 17.4% 5.75 -13.1%

Over 2.5 72.6% 82.6% 1.21 -12.2%

Over 3.5 50.1% 62.5% 1.60 -19.8%

BTTS 60.6% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 25.8% 41.2% 2.43 -22.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 24.0%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob60.6%

H 69% / xG 3.4-0.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.7%

#2 3–1 8.0%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 4–0 7.4%

#5 2–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PPJ3.4

Union Plaani0.9

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 50.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PPJ · PPG 1.17

UNION PLAANI · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.50 for Home, form 1.17 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

PPJ (H) 68.8%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV -7.1%

Draw 17.6%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -9.3%

Union Plaani (A) 13.6%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV -13.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

PPJ face Union Plaani in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PPJ a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Union Plaani 14%, so PPJ are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for PPJ and 0.9 for Union Plaani (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PPJ are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.17 for Union Plaani.

PPJ vs Union Plaani Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A Predictions