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MyPa vs PuiU Helsinki Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A · Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

MyPa

PPG 0.62 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

PuiU Helsinki

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-18.0%0-25.7%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.1%1-111.6%1-28.3%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.4%2-26.0%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.8%3-14.1%3-22.9%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% 35.7% 2.80 +9.5%

Draw 24.6% 27.8% 3.60 -6.9%

Away win 36.3% 48.8% 2.05 -25.6%

Over 2.5 59.7% 75.2% 1.33 -20.6%

Over 3.5 36.6% 54.6% 1.83 -33.0%

BTTS 61.3% 74.1% 1.35 -17.2%

Home O1.5 40.0% 52.4% 1.91 -23.6%

Away O1.5 41.2% 65.4% 1.53 -37.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 80%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 31.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.3%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1✓ 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.1%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MyPa1.4

PuiU Helsinki1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MYPA · PPG 0.62

PUIU HELSINKI · PPG 0.62

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

MyPa (H) 39.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +9.5%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.9%

PuiU Helsinki (A) 36.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -25.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

MyPa face PuiU Helsinki in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MyPa a 39% chance, the draw 25% and PuiU Helsinki 36%, so MyPa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for MyPa and 1.4 for PuiU Helsinki (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MyPa are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 0.62 for PuiU Helsinki. This match finished 2-1.

MyPa vs PuiU Helsinki Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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