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HIFK Helsinki vs Atlantis Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

HIFK Helsinki

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlantis

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.3%0-21.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-02.2%1-14.1%1-23.8%1-32.4%1-4+1.7%2 2-03.3%2-16.3%2-25.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.4%3-16.4%3-26.0%3-33.8%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-110.6%4+-29.9%4+-36.2%4+-4+4.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.7% 60.6% 1.65 -8.1%

Draw 17.2% 23.8% 4.20 -16.7%

Away win 27.0% 27.8% 3.60 -1.7%

Over 2.5 75.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% 69.9% 1.43 -21.9%

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% 58.8% 1.70 -8.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 30.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.4%

H 56% / xG 3.1-1.9 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.4%

#2 2–1 6.3%

#3 3–2 6.0%

#4 2–2 5.9%

#5 4–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HIFK Helsinki3.1

Atlantis1.9

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HIFK HELSINKI · PPG 1.75

ATLANTIS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

HIFK Helsinki (H) 55.7%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -8.1%

Draw 17.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -16.7%

Atlantis (A) 27.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

HIFK Helsinki face Atlantis in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HIFK Helsinki a 56% chance, the draw 17% and Atlantis 27%, so HIFK Helsinki are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for HIFK Helsinki and 1.9 for Atlantis (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HIFK Helsinki are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Atlantis.

HIFK Helsinki vs Atlantis Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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