Today / Argentina - Reserve League / San Lorenzo Res. vs Banfield Res.

San Lorenzo Res. vs Banfield Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 2 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 18:00

San Lorenzo Res.

PPG 0.89 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Banfield Res.

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-110.9%0-24.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.9%1-113.1%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.5%2-17.8%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.8%3-13.1%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 52.4% 1.91 -12.9%

Draw 28.8% 34.5% 2.90 -9.9%

Away win 25.6% 26.3% 3.80 -1.6%

Over 2.5 43.6% 45.5% 2.20 -4.1%

Over 3.5 23.1% 26.7% 3.75 -8.0%

BTTS 48.5% 54.1% 1.85 -10.3%

Home O1.5 35.9% 47.4% 2.11 -24.3%

Away O1.5 20.1% 27.9% 3.58 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.3%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 15.9%

#4 2–0 9.5%

#5 0–1 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Lorenzo Res.1.2

Banfield Res.0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN LORENZO RES. · PPG 0.89

BANFIELD RES. · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.38, combined xG 2.02 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

San Lorenzo Res. (H) 45.6%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -12.9%

Draw 28.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -9.9%

Banfield Res. (A) 25.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -1.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Lorenzo Res. face Banfield Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Lorenzo Res. a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Banfield Res. 26%, so San Lorenzo Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for San Lorenzo Res. and 0.8 for Banfield Res. (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Lorenzo Res. are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 1.11 for Banfield Res.. This match finished 3-0.

San Lorenzo Res. vs Banfield Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Reserve League Predictions