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Aldosivi Res. vs Unión Santa Fe Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 2 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 18:00

Aldosivi Res.

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Unión Santa Fe Res.

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-113.3%0-27.4%0-32.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.0%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.1%2-16.8%2-23.8%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.1%3-12.3%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.4% — — —

Draw 30.9% — — —

Away win 35.7% — — —

Over 2.5 43.4% — — —

Over 3.5 22.9% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.4%

D 31% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.9%

#3 0–1 13.3%

#4 1–0 12.0%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aldosivi Res.1.0

Unión Santa Fe Res.1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.4% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ALDOSIVI RES. · PPG 1.33

UNIÓN SANTA FE RES. · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

Aldosivi Res. (H) 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Unión Santa Fe Res. (A) 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aldosivi Res. face Unión Santa Fe Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aldosivi Res. a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Unión Santa Fe Res. 36%, so Unión Santa Fe Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Aldosivi Res. and 1.1 for Unión Santa Fe Res. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aldosivi Res. are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.22 for Unión Santa Fe Res..

Aldosivi Res. vs Unión Santa Fe Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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