Today / Argentina - Reserve League / Deportivo Riestra Res. vs Boca Juniors Res.

Deportivo Riestra Res. vs Boca Juniors Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 2 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 18:00

Deportivo Riestra Res.

PPG 1.89 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Boca Juniors Res.

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-113.1%0-27.3%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.1%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.2%2-16.9%2-23.8%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.1%3-12.4%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% 20.8% 4.80 +76.6%

Draw 28.8% 32.3% 3.10 -6.4%

Away win 34.3% 59.9% 1.67 -42.7%

Over 2.5 46.8% 44.4% 2.25 +5.3%

Over 3.5 26.4% 24.7% 4.05 +4.2%

BTTS 48.5% 48.8% 2.05 -0.6%

Home O1.5 35.0% 20.4% 4.90 +71.5%

Away O1.5 36.4% 50.8% 1.97 -28.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 0–1 13.1%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Riestra Res.1.0

Boca Juniors Res.1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO RIESTRA RES. · PPG 1.89

BOCA JUNIORS RES. · PPG 1.67

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.09, combined xG 2.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Riestra Res. (H) 36.8%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +76.6%

Draw 28.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.4%

Boca Juniors Res. (A) 34.3%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -42.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Riestra Res. face Boca Juniors Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Riestra Res. a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Boca Juniors Res. 34%, so Deportivo Riestra Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Deportivo Riestra Res. and 1.1 for Boca Juniors Res. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Riestra Res. are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.67 for Boca Juniors Res.. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +71.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Deportivo Riestra Res. vs Boca Juniors Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Reserve League Predictions