Today / Argentina - Reserve League / Colón Res. vs Defensa y Justicia Res.

Colón Res. vs Defensa y Justicia Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 2 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 18:00

Colón Res.

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Defensa y Justicia Res.

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-110.7%0-27.7%0-33.7%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.6%1-112.4%1-28.9%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.0%2-17.2%2-25.2%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.9%3-12.8%3-22.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.9% — — —

Over 3.5 29.6% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 35.4% — — —

Away O1.5 42.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.3%

A 35% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.4%

#3 1–2 8.9%

#4 0–1 10.7%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colón Res.1.2

Defensa y Justicia Res.1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

COLÓN RES. · PPG 1.44

DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA RES. · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Colón Res. (H) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Defensa y Justicia Res. (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Colón Res. face Defensa y Justicia Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colón Res. a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Defensa y Justicia Res. 35%, so Colón Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Colón Res. and 1.4 for Defensa y Justicia Res. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colón Res. are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.40 for Defensa y Justicia Res..

Colón Res. vs Defensa y Justicia Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Reserve League Predictions